Commentary
Last week I wrote about the distinct personality type of Trump’s political appointees— the “low-H” personality. But there is another unifying feature of these people that is worth pointing out— many of them are “broken things” of various sorts, political untouchables that, without Trump, would have no meaningful political careers. Folks like Gaetz, Hegseth, Gabbard and now Patel owe everything to Trump, and for that reason they will do whatever he wants them to do. They would not be anywhere near power if it weren’t for him. This is not a “team of rivals” or an assembly of technocratic talent, but a team of henchmen. Trump protects them and elevates them in exchange for unconditional loyalty, and he seems to be deliberately selecting people with baggage that would normally be disqualifying.
Chances are, many of the people you like least in your life have a unifying trait in common— they are “low H.”
In the last few years I’ve conducted some research on personality and political behavior, which required me to come up to speed on the vast literature on personality traits developed by social psychologists over decades. Ashton and Lee have developed the “HEXACO Model” of personality, which holds that personality can be broken down into six core traits: Honesty-Humility, Emotionality, eXtraversion, Agreeableness, Conscientiousness, and Openness to Experience.
If you needed to understand the political winds of China at any moment over the past 25 years, you could simply look to see how Xu Zhiyong was being treated at the time, and you could have a sense. Right now, he is on hunger strike, in response to his poor treatment while in prison. His contact with family and friends is minimal, but he began his strike over a month ago now, so there is serious concern about his health. His friends and colleagues in the overseas democracy community have joined in the fast in solidarity.
For the past few months, it has looked as though there may be something of a spring thaw in the U.S.-China relationship. Chinese diplomats have been lauding the so-called “San Francisco Vision”—referencing the meeting last November between Presidents Biden and Xi, which was meant to set guardrails on strategic competition and rebuild ties at the highest level. Xi Jinping himself called for 50,000 American students to come to China in the next five years, sending China’s educational bureaucracy into a frenzy. He met personally with high-level American business executives, first in San Francisco and then in Beijing months later.
America’s collective national body is suffering from a chronic case of China anxiety. Nearly anything with the word “Chinese” in front of it now triggers a fear response in our political system, muddling our ability to properly gauge and contextualize threats. This has led the U.S. government and American politicians to pursue policies grounded in repression and exclusion, mirroring the authoritarian system that they seek to combat.
Chinese social media has been abuzz with the disturbing story of a Chinese woman, referred to by the pseudonym “Meng Fei,” who was pursuing a Ph.D. in America. When traveling back to the U.S. to complete her studies, Meng was detained in a “little dark room” at Dulles International Airport in Washington D.C. for over eight hours, then left in solitary confinement for another 12 hours. She was unable to speak to family or friends during this time. She was then sent back to Beijing — forced to pay for her $3,700 ticket on the spot — and has since been banned from entering the United States for five years.
At a time of heightened competition with Beijing, our education system is not generating enough American citizens with Chinese language ability, meaningful lived experiences in China and deep area knowledge. And despite the ever-present refrain in Congress about the China threat, the U.S. government is actively disinvesting in China studies. The result is a serious and overlooked knowledge asymmetry that gives China — where fluency in English and U.S. culture is common — the upper hand in understanding its strategic rival.
The A4 Revolution that erupted in China in the past week is not really a revolution at all, not yet at least. The term revolution implies a sustained movement aimed at overthrowing the Chinese Communist Party. At this stage, the A4 Revolution—named after the size of the printer paper held up at vigils throughout the country—is a series of scattered, spontaneous protests against the brutality and absurdity of “dynamic zero-COVID” lockdowns and quarantines. The blank sheets say nothing and everything at the same time. These protests do not need to topple the regime to have long-term consequences.
Hu’s feeble exit from the stage is a sad symbol of the current trajectory of Chinese politics. Hu, and his allies and protégés, represent a more technocratic, moderate arm of the party—one decidedly less repressive, and more open to the outside world. Xi and his camp have been gaining momentum for a decade but at least had to share some power with Hu’s faction. This arrangement has been put to rest. In its place, China has a single dominant leader surrounded solely by people who enable him, not restrain him.
The coming academic year presents unique challenges for university instructors teaching content related to China. The shift to online education, the souring of U.S.-China relations, and new national security legislation coming from Beijing have brought new sensitivities and new risks to our classrooms.
In confronting the challenges posed by a rising China, U.S. policy makers must remember that the power of the American scientific enterprise lies not simply in the number of citations or patents it generates, but in the number of bright people from every country in the world who want to come here to do research—because of how we conduct science, speak about politics, and provide opportunity regardless of a person’s nation of origin.
A democratic revolution is unlikely to break out anytime soon, but modern Chinese history shows the problems that arise when a single leader becomes too powerful. In the words of the whistle-blower, the late Chinese doctor Li Wenliang, “a healthy society should not have just one voice.”
Through a combination of market coercion and intimidation, the Chinese Communist Party is trying to constrain how people in the United States and other Western democracies talk about China. This encroachment needs a measured response—what we might call freedom-of-speech operations, or FOSOPs for short. American universities can take the lead. They should routinely hold events on the fate of Taiwan, the pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong, the repression of Uighur Muslims in Xinjiang, and other topics known to be sensitive to the Chinese government.
This week, more than 3,000 deputies in China’s National People’s Congress are meeting in Beijing. The NPC is the legislative body of the Chinese government — and the largest parliament in the world. The full NPC meets just once a year in March, usually for a period of about two weeks. NPC deputies serve five-year terms, and the newly “elected” group (the 13th NPC) will take office this year. Here are three things to know about this session.
Talks and Presentations
“Charting the Ideological Spectrum and Public Opinion in China.” February 24, 2022 Asia Society.
“Xi for Life? What Does it Mean for China and the World”, July 23, 2018. Talks At Google.
“Repression in the China Field.” October 24, 2018. National Committee on U.S.-China Relations.